VLCC spot rates reapproach 2025 lows amid summer doldrums
- Baltic Exchange’s VLCC index is down to $26,984 per day vs year-to-date low of $23,995 per day in early January
- Market power has shifted squarely to the charterers, who are playing the ‘waiting game’ as position lists remain long
- Optimism remains for 2H25, when Opec+ production gains are expected to increase VLCC demand; barriers to Russian exports could also support VLCC rates
Barring some unexpected event, tanker trades look like they’re in for a typically sluggish summer. Upside from Middle East unrest is long gone, and Opec+ production gains are not expected to buoy tanker demand until the autumn
