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Tankers and Gas Ukraine crisis Political Risk and Trade

VLCC rate outlook for 2026: not as high as today, not as low as 2024

  • Temporary market drivers that pushed VLCC rates to six figures should alleviate, but structural drivers should keep rates at very healthy levels next year
  • Lower oil prices in 2026 could temper Middle East exports, but exports from the Americas to Asia should provide continued structural support for VLCCs
  • Outcome of Russia-Ukraine peace talks is a variable for tanker markets next year; for VLCCs, it could be a positive

  • Analysis

Analysts speaking at the Breakwave Day forum on Thursday predicted continued strength in the VLCC market next year, even after spot rates fall back from this quarter’s stratospheric highs

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    This copy is for your personal, non-commercial use. For high-quality copies or electronic reprints for distribution to colleagues or customers, please call UK support at +44 (0)20 3377 3996 / APAC support at +65 6508 2430

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