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Could VLCC boom rewrite the ship investment rules?

  • A 22-year-old VLCC can now earn back its entire market value in months as Middle East disruption drives freight rates to unprecedented levels
  • Owners increasingly argue that sanctions, conflict, congestion and trade fragmentation have turned temporary shipping inefficiencies into structural demand for tonnage
  • The bigger risk may be the capital now flowing into shipping on the assumption that disorder is permanent, a bet that has undone investors before

Extraordinary tanker earnings are reviving an old question for shipping investors: are today’s windfall profits just another cyclical spike, or evidence that geopolitical disruption has become a permanent feature of global trade?

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