Ukraine Crisis
As events in Ukraine unfold at a rapid pace and sanctions on Russia start to bite, Lloyd's List offers the best insight, analysis and commentary on how the crisis is impacting shipping markets
Happy Xmas (Ukraine’s war isn’t over)
Three drone strikes on vessels remind us the fighting is still raging
Flag states to receive due diligence support amid pressure to crackdown on shadow fleet
Efforts to strengthen compliance processes at the flag state level are welcomed, although some are sceptical about the uptake among certain registries
VLCC rate outlook for 2026: not as high as today, not as low as 2024
Analysts speaking at the Breakwave Day forum on Thursday predicted continued strength in the VLCC market next year, even after spot rates fall back from this quarter’s stratospheric highs
Black Sea war risk rates up 250% since start of November
Underwriters ‘fear worst’ if Russia retaliates for drone strikes
Besiktas Shipping ceases all Russia-related operations after vessel attacked
The Turkish manager of Mersin, which was hit by explosions off the Senegal coast a few weeks after loading in Russia, is ceasing its Russia-related voyages
Ukraine denies latest tanker attack
Ukrainian foreign ministry accused Russia of staging the incident on Midvolga-2
Shadow fleet scenarios suggest muted impact if Russian sanctions are lifted
The uncertain prospect of a peace deal in Ukraine has sent tanker analysts scrambling to reassess the fate of the shadow fleet and what impact lifting Russian sanctions might have on the market for 2026. The result is more underwhelming than many would have hoped for
Shipping investors fear geopolitical rate upside could unwind in 2026
Shipping thrives amid geopolitical chaos. There is rising sentiment — which a cynic would say is too optimistic — that the world will become more peaceful and shipping inefficiencies will be reduced next year
Ukraine’s right to take out shadow fleet tankers is legal grey area
Black Sea war risk rates rise after drone strikes on fears of Russian backlash
Ukraine intensifies Black Sea attacks on Russian vessels
Turkish authorities said messages to all parties calling for the attacks on shipping to cease were communicated ‘very clearly’
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